Measured properly, how much bigger is Ethiopia's economy than the old estimate?
Same economy. Sharper picture.
Switch the lens on 2017 EFY (2024/25). The economy didn't change. The lens did.
Base year 2024/25. Today's prices, two national censuses, SNA 2008 standards.
What changed
Scroll through the three changes. Watch the yardstick move while the economy stays where it was.
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The old lens
Base year 2015/16: older prices, sample data, and a smaller view of informal activity. It put 2017 EFY GDP at ETB 15.09 trillion.
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1A new base year
Prices and sector weights move from 2015/16 to 2024/25.
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2Wider coverage
Two national censuses bring in activity the old series missed: informal mining, small manufacturing, transport services, FinTech and interest-free banks.
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3International standards
Methods follow SNA 2008 and ISIC Rev. 5, reviewed by the IMF.
ETB 24.03 trillion. The economy didn't change. The lens did.
Illustration. Each dot is an equal share of the rebased economy. It does not show how much each change contributed.
What the new lens sees
Activity that was always part of the economy, now counted from census and administrative records.
Informal mining
Artisanal gold and quarrying
Micro-manufacturing
Small workshops from the establishment census
New transport activities
Newly emerged transport activity
Expansion of hospitality
Accommodation and food services
Private clinics
Health and social work
FinTech and interest-free banks
Digital and interest-free financial services
State-owned enterprises
Increased coverage of public enterprises
NPISH
Increased coverage of non-profit institutions serving households
Agriculture Census
A full count of crops and livestock replaces scaled sample estimates.
Economic Establishment Census
The first comprehensive census of industry and services.
Integrated Household Survey
Up-to-date patterns of household consumption.
State-owned enterprises
Public-sector output and investment now captured.
FinTech and interest-free banks
Digital and interest-free financial services counted for the first time.
Informal activity
Artisanal mining, micro-manufacturing and market trade.
International standards
Methods aligned with the System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA 2008) and ISIC Rev. 5, so Ethiopia's figures compare like for like with other economies.
Inside the rebased economy
Industry
30.2%Industry's share rises 2.4 points, the biggest gain of any sector. The Economic Establishment Census found far more output in power, mining and factories.
How the economy uses its output
Investment and saving play a far larger role than previously measured, and the trade gap is smaller relative to the economy.
GDP is 1.59 times larger, so ratios like debt-to-GDP and tax-to-GDP fall by about 37%. The debt and the revenue themselves do not change.
The economy grew 7.7% in 2018 EFY.
Real GDP growth at constant market prices, measured on the new 2017 EFY base. This is the growth figure. The 59.2% is a revision to the old estimate, not growth.
Ethiopia moves up among Africa's largest economies
Top 9 economies in Africa, GDP 2026, USD billion
- 1South Africa480.0
- 2Egypt429.7
- 3Nigeria377.4
- 4Algeria317.2
- 5Ethiopia210.7
- 6Morocco194.3
- 7Angola152.4
- 8Kenya147.3
- 9DR Congo123.4
Source: IMF, 2026; Ethiopia: rebased estimate, Ministry of National Strategy.
Read the full report
The rebased GDP report sets out the rationale, methodology and key results of the 2017 EFY base year.
The report link appears here shortly.
info@mopd.gov.et